Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6ed23adc61b3a5f1a67c94fbfd3097b7f0876f71a7eb61439f210209f312088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Inner Circle | 38c | 2,027$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed L1ga Team | 62c | 1,900$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 37c | 1,228$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.98 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked L1ga Team | 65c | 1,205$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.01 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Inner Circle | 50c | 1,098$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked L1ga Team | 72c | 1,033$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed L1ga Team | 69c | 999.98$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.07 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle | 45c | 814.91$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.16 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 800.25$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle | 34c | 776.6$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.08 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Inner Circle | 36c | 538.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Inner Circle | 64c | 525.54$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.03 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Inner Circle | 34c | 410$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 75c | 387.55$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Inner Circle | 36c | 344$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Inner Circle | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked L1ga Team | 63c | 309.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Inner Circle | 22c | 295.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked L1ga Team | 63c | 287.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 284.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Inner Circle | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed L1ga Team | 61c | 221.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Inner Circle | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 31c | 163.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Inner Circle | 36c | 143.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed Inner Circle | 42c | 141.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Inner Circle | 19c | 133.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…7560backed Inner Circle | 38c | 132.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Inner Circle | 50c | 131.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Inner Circle | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Inner Circle | 37c | 94.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 92.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Inner Circle | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed L1ga Team | 76c | 79.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed L1ga Team | 43c | 78.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…1fc4backed Inner Circle | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Inner Circle | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Inner Circle | 46c | 72.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Inner Circle | 29c | 69.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 66c | 68.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Inner Circle | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Inner Circle | 42c | 47.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed L1ga Team | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Inner Circle | 58c | 34.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Inner Circle | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed L1ga Team | 54c | 32.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 53c | 30.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle | 43c | 29.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Inner Circle | 52c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked L1ga Team | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…4d58backed L1ga Team | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked L1ga Team | 63c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.