Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x749609afa42b9326064f8db5c18fc6a8af40aa29a8a655c2a1c224e576792153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x817b…543bbacked Inner Circle | 43c | 2,877$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle | 42c | 1,309$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.58 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed L1ga Team | 67c | 1,100$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.99 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed L1ga Team | 68c | 1,058$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.27 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Inner Circle | 39c | 996.2$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.52 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 56c | 886.36$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.8 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 42c | 559.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.33 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed L1ga Team | 66c | 438.09$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked L1ga Team | 55c | 379.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked L1ga Team | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Inner Circle | 30c | 313.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Inner Circle | 38c | 266$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Inner Circle | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Inner Circle | 17c | 200.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Inner Circle | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Inner Circle | 22c | 197$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Inner Circle | 40c | 194.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Inner Circle | 48c | 194$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Inner Circle | 41c | 186.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed L1ga Team | 65c | 186.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 177.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…0118backed Inner Circle | 39c | 151.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed L1ga Team | 66c | 150.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked L1ga Team | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed L1ga Team | 76c | 135.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 61c | 129.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Inner Circle | 28c | 111.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Inner Circle | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed L1ga Team | 63c | 111.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Inner Circle | 33c | 103.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Inner Circle | 16c | 101.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Inner Circle | 41c | 91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed L1ga Team | 64c | 83.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed L1ga Team | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Inner Circle | 44c | 75.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…c353backed Inner Circle | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed L1ga Team | 59c | 69.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle | 49c | 60.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Inner Circle | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 53.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed L1ga Team | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Inner Circle | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed L1ga Team | 66c | 38.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Inner Circle | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Inner Circle | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked L1ga Team | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 58c | 28.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Inner Circle | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed L1ga Team | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.