Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Illinois State Redbirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25b1f48569b1db2afbedf8934146ca4021805e8364776980adc802299f093ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Iowa Panthersof Northern Iowa Panthers, Illinois State Redbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,335 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 54c | 2,994$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.73 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Illinois State Redbirds | 12c | 1,593$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Illinois State Redbirds | 46c | 1,385$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.13 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 31c | 670.92$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 598.81$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.08 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Illinois State Redbirds | 46c | 543.5$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 75c | 534.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 65c | 515.08$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 80c | 438.29$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 399.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 391.73$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 54c | 293.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 257.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 213.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 205.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Illinois State Redbirds | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 69c | 189.46$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Illinois State Redbirds | 29c | 173.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 70c | 155.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 148.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 80c | 99.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…2af6backed Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 99.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 71.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 58c | 61.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 60.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 60.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Illinois State Redbirds | 23c | 58.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b8…5b61backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 67c | 53.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 35.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 33.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 32.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…1bcfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 32.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 56c | 29.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Illinois State Redbirds | 38c | 29.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 74c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Illinois State Redbirdsthis page
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 126.5Under won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 127.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-1.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.