Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Rare Atom (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25de06f1ee2a695d883a41eb6c20791f8ae700c21895d5341ee1de846056b59c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Rare Atom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,463 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rare Atom | 4c | 1,708$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rare Atom | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Rare Atom | 15c | 1,429$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.35 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rare Atom | 7c | 1,051$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 465 | 26.7%124 W · 341 L | -25.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rare Atom | 13c | 965.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rare Atom | 16c | 861.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Rare Atom | 17c | 840.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Rare Atom | 16c | 754.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rare Atom | 15c | 724.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 420 | 35%147 W · 273 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…cb13backed JD Gaming | 78c | 718.5$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Rare Atom | 15c | 620.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…4987backed Rare Atom | 19c | 513.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Rare Atom | 15c | 463.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Rare Atom | 23c | 430$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Rare Atom | 16c | 361.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Rare Atom | 17c | 245$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Rare Atom | 16c | 236$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Rare Atom | 15c | 200.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Rare Atom | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Rare Atom | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Rare Atom | 13c | 188.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Rare Atom | 9c | 185$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rare Atom | 6c | 183$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rare Atom | 8c | 180.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Rare Atom | 15c | 138$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Rare Atom | 13c | 137.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Rare Atom | 13c | 134.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rare Atom | 16c | 132.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Rare Atom | 13c | 128$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Rare Atom | 15c | 120.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Rare Atom | 15c | 118.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…5a8abacked Rare Atom | 16c | 100.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rare Atom | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Rare Atom | 15c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Rare Atom | 17c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Rare Atom | 16c | 61.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Rare Atom (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Rare Atom (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Rare Atom - Map 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Rare Atom - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.