Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Linda Fruhvirtova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e4e7d208d37e3406abd750d86d706284303af2467a57a30a6749969732fc37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Linda Fruhvirtovaof Varvara Lepchenko, Linda Fruhvirtova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Varvara Lepchenko | 30c | 3,824$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.17 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 69c | 2,811$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.94 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Varvara Lepchenko | 6c | 1,925$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Varvara Lepchenko | 1c | 1,759$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 69c | 1,569$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Varvara Lepchenko | 11c | 1,248$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Varvara Lepchenko | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 65c | 1,190$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 72c | 1,040$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.02 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Varvara Lepchenko | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Varvara Lepchenko | 33c | 893.94$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 20c | 834.43$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Varvara Lepchenko | 20c | 776.24$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 67c | 579.18$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 71c | 509.29$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Varvara Lepchenko | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 32c | 374.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 67c | 299.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Varvara Lepchenko | 29c | 287.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 30c | 275.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Varvara Lepchenko | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 71c | 256$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 71c | 254$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Varvara Lepchenko | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 71c | 239$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 69c | 185.32$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57c…22b8backed Varvara Lepchenko | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 64c | 156.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Varvara Lepchenko | 33c | 153.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 70c | 138.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 69c | 135$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 73c | 127.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 80c | 125.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Varvara Lepchenko | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 78c | 100.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb93c…d7ecbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 28c | 98.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 69c | 94.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 71c | 87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 27c | 84.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 66c | 73.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Varvara Lepchenko | 28c | 69.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Varvara Lepchenko | 19c | 57.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Varvara Lepchenko | 36c | 42.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Varvara Lepchenko | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…ce55backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Linda Fruhvirtovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Lepchenko vs FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova won
- Set Handicap: Fruhvirtova (-1.5) vs Lepchenko (+1.5)Fruhvirtova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.