MLB · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2638366baa230ddf57630e0d317953e074b8ce9ad710405e3963e5a0663227ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Colorado Rockies, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfc7…2a87backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 5,526$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 5,194$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.1 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 2,037$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 1,761$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.8 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 1,758$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.2 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,355$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.14 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 653.94$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 596$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.52 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 295.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 200.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 123.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 123.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 118.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 100.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 81.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 64.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 63.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 62.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 60.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 51.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 32.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 32.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 32.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 32.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 29.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.