MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b4e4075a1b8aae1d6bb2e278056ada000364fe634e8acad45e2e58816164147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 3,485$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.27 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 3,314$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Under | 71c | 1,987$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.98 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 47c | 1,374$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.24 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 30c | 1,360$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.07 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 1,200$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 959.65$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.92 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 21c | 959.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.29 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 945.25$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.03 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 30c | 891.86$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 31c | 845.88$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.81 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 42c | 818.83$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.57 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 702.83$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Over | 20c | 658.8$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.04 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 42c | 454.92$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.22 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 56c | 355.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 20c | 305.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.26 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 20c | 305.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.26 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 37c | 285$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 51c | 278.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 32c | 184.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 179.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 26c | 169.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Under | 44c | 133.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 29c | 123.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 44c | 121.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 120.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 21c | 120.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 21c | 119.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 56c | 107.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 54c | 102.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 19c | 102.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 55c | 96.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 87.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 52c | 79.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 78.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 31c | 76.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Over | 31c | 76.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 35c | 67.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 52c | 59.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 42c | 56.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Over | 43c | 55.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Over | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 53.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 44c | 53.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 41c | 50.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 63c | 50.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…d0a8backed Over | 31c | 48.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…ed49backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 32c | 39.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 34.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Over | 52c | 30.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 54c | 27.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 75c | 18.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 54c | 18.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Under | 64c | 18.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Under | 71c | 18.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.