TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under56c9,447$5,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,273.034,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over44c8,265$3,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,628.191,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c2,947$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.598,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over49c2,399$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.315,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c2,300$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.2211,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under54c2,003$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.6786653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under61c1,874$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.78,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c1,698$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.8712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over49c1,640$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.1895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over44c1,410$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.764,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under45c1,358$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.914,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under56c1,162$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.671,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over63c1,076$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.131,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c1,049$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.058,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.175,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2709,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under53c346.58$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.823,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over49c312.5$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3887750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over46c269$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.055,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over47c253.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4597050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over45c244.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0699447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c239.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.192,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over47c228.96$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4879255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under51c206$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0657046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13047549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over45c191.28$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.781,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b7…47e7backed Under57c161.51$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over35c160$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10454651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over46c159.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.852,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over44c158.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8330048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over37c157.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.474,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Under59c125.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1411648.3%56 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over40c123.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5127646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over39c121$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.221,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x115e…5019backed Over80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249553.7%51 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under44c119$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8930340.6%123 W · 180 L-16.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over52c117.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.746,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under66c112.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5572655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over48c101.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7912352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c97.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.596,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c91.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.673,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under45c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.626762.2%166 W · 101 L+43.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+58%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Under67c85.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2121055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6316251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under45c64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.83,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf35backed Under21c62.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.045644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over45c59.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7326438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under56c58.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.932,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over46c58.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7399744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over45c58.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0389053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Under65c57.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6128456.7%161 W · 123 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over52c53.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under54c50.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.585,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Over32c48.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9910742.1%45 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over47c44.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.811,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c41.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.512,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70e6…e8f9backed Over48c41.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under45c40.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.361,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Over45c39.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7122151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over44c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7229242.5%124 W · 168 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Under63c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3917752.5%93 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under57c36.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112257.4%70 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6291…16e1backed Over49c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under52c35.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3244745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Under56c34.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4316253.1%86 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over48c34.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0259749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over47c33.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.851,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e4…c62abacked Over45c33.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.492944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under55c31.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.192,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over48c30.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.861,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over41c30.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.022,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Over44c29.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.457646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Under56c27.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.435042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over46c26.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0963954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over43c24.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2455643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Under54c21.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.484226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Under56c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6412753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Under65c18.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.344651.6%230 W · 216 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Under64c18.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5237551.2%192 W · 183 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under69c17.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.942,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.