TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$419,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,651 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c245,030$120,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,064.9341149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over51c107,025$54,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,442.0932152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,00055053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c67,434$33,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,025.514,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c66,632$33,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,648.224,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under50c50,984$25,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,491.943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c32,264$15,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,008.4911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c19,608$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.841,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3501,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over50c13,136$6,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,567.955248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over31c11,297$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,795.196839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c7,798$5,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.818,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over50c5,759$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.663,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Under17c5,294$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.7915942.8%68 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c4,841$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.0975049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c3,455$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.641,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c3,405$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.2312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c2,974$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.25,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over61c2,650$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.038,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over59c2,345$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.733,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over68c2,003$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6469,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over51c1,887$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.4489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c1,500$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c1,471$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.791,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293b…7a58backed Under19c1,079$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.964231%13 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13017354.9%95 W · 78 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c811.97$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.871,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29461352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2451555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7187750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under78c512.82$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032166.4%213 W · 108 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.238455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under67c410.99$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.938,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c401.7$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.852,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c399.97$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.996,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over51c397.17$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6128154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14730048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c281.01$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.134,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over51c216$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8478155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over42c213.62$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.695,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over54c205.07$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3357747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under46c200.79$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.552,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78ab…b2b4backed Under43c197.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0858649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under27c168$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3630340.6%123 W · 180 L-16.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c1b…555bbacked Over54c162$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.521323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over57c131$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.331,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.81,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over51c117.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.642941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over31c115$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.351,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Over51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9612939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0214759.9%88 W · 59 L+14.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over31c95.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.119339.8%37 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over53c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1828943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Over42c92.43$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.078949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over56c90.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0616251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a80…2dadbacked Over51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.247652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c85.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over54c81.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.483,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.572648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Over51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.757646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under54c74.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over66c67.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9383053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x138d…b23ebacked Over50c67.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Over50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.524749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under71c60.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.297569.3%52 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.489053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309639.6%38 W · 58 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over55c58.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.771,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8226753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8294549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under46c58.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1187352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Under31c56.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.914226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under43c56.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2561948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over58c49.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6415143.7%66 W · 85 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8337…1b5bbacked Under47c47.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.471963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f78…e043backed Under50c47.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Over66c45.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.313357.9%77 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1425256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd80b…4d10backed Over51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0727…2c6bbacked Over51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under45c43.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2225448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2218751.9%97 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2220945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2223455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over31c37.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over50c36.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4939053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ddc…7b90backed Over51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.332352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over53c32.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.181,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over72c32.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.922,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.