MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb746e72815e539f187ebdd8c955116f89f3542c9d6f9d44527522747f6781a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 3,100$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.2 | 4,107 | 57.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L | +65.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 61c | 2,686$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.96 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Over | 37c | 1,644$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 1,345$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.43 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 579.46$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.75 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 58c | 430.21$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.93 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 64c | 374.76$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 349.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 62c | 290.6$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 202.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 176.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 57c | 140.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 35c | 121.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 279 | 46.6%130 W · 149 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 40c | 104$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 3,857 | 42.3%1,632 W · 2,225 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 60c | 92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 66.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 643 | 54.1%348 W · 295 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 40c | 62.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 46c | 61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 40c | 49.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 55c | 49.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 44.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 809 | 51.9%420 W · 389 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 37.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 5,848 | 43.7%2,556 W · 3,292 L | -189.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 37c | 34.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 63c | 34.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,593 | 61.5%1,595 W · 998 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 45c | 33.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Over | 40c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 879 | 52.8%464 W · 415 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,465 | 51.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L | +105.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.