Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Despina Papamichail vs Hanyu Guo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x267f4a1a7c94665e2843e808cbda6b24198e22bb03227ce78b15861cd1c09887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanyu Guoof Despina Papamichail, Hanyu Guo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Despina Papamichail | 14c | 2,922$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.73 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Despina Papamichail | 15c | 909.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Despina Papamichail | 9c | 558$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Despina Papamichail | 13c | 455$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Hanyu Guo | 66c | 373.13$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Despina Papamichail | 17c | 370.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hanyu Guo | 72c | 341.42$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Despina Papamichail | 16c | 305.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Despina Papamichail | 23c | 305.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Hanyu Guo | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 222 | 43.2%96 W · 126 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Despina Papamichail | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Hanyu Guo | 74c | 282.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Despina Papamichail | 35c | 210.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 403 | 60.8%245 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Despina Papamichail | 24c | 203.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Despina Papamichail | 5c | 203.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Despina Papamichail | 17c | 156.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Despina Papamichail | 13c | 154.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 151.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Hanyu Guo | 73c | 150.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Despina Papamichail | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Despina Papamichail | 35c | 144.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Despina Papamichail | 46c | 109.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Hanyu Guo | 65c | 99.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Hanyu Guo | 67c | 74.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Hanyu Guo | 63c | 71.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Despina Papamichail | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Hanyu Guo | 77c | 65.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hanyu Guo | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Despina Papamichail | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…7178backed Despina Papamichail | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Despina Papamichail | 25c | 43.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0acabacked Despina Papamichail | 35c | 42.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…a572backed Hanyu Guo | 75c | 38.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 199 | 77.4%154 W · 45 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 34.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 32.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…9d01backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…5078backed Hanyu Guo | 66c | 32.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hanyu Guo | 62c | 24.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Hanyu Guo | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Hanyu Guo | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hanyu Guo | 65c | 19.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.