Tennis · resolved market
ITF Horb: Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Lola Giza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27350bfc6df3992b2ee17f145ac12e3ddc73e18d25d0b072692da89c182d7740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lola Gizaof Maria Martinez Vaquero, Lola Giza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 21c | 4,165$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.83 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lola Giza | 76c | 2,210$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.14 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lola Giza | 79c | 612.57$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lola Giza | 33c | 599.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.83 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 22c | 557.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed Lola Giza | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 67c | 354.38$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.43 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Lola Giza | 79c | 330.86$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 65c | 185.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lola Giza | 35c | 183.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…9e9bbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 67c | 165.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 63c | 135$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lola Giza | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lola Giza | 65c | 96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 68c | 94.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Lola Giza | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…ee45backed Lola Giza | 79c | 76.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 68c | 72.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 55c | 71.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 67c | 66.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 40c | 65.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Lola Giza | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Lola Giza | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Lola Giza | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lola Giza | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lola Giza | 32c | 60.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Lola Giza | 33c | 56.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…0d9ebacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 67c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 73c | 41.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lola Giza | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Lola Giza | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Lola Giza | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Lola Giza | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 66c | 29.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Lola Giza | 79c | 24.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 73c | 22.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lola Giza | 77c | 20.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 71c | 20.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 68c | 20.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Lola Giza | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Lola Giza | 76c | 18.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Lola Giza | 73c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.