Tennis · resolved market
Cameron Norrie vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2757211648275679c808dae5d7769f6d4f161e986a175c50a209e8d37ff1bb13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 44c | 1,377$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 58c | 559.05$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 476.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.72 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over 2.5 | 52c | 374.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.44 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…6ee2backed Over 2.5 | 73c | 367.04$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Over 2.5 | 49c | 295.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over 2.5 | 41c | 244.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Under 2.5 | 50c | 237.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…43d6backed Under 2.5 | 59c | 221.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over 2.5 | 37c | 202$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 2.5 | 47c | 201.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 171.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…57a3backed Over 2.5 | 51c | 141.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 123.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 76.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -10.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Under 2.5 | 61c | 19.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cameron Norrie vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Norrie vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur won
- Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs MinaurMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)Norrie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.