Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Alina Tikhonova vs Junhan Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2834b2e06e2fd84fc7fd7000e9ed7084f7c0cf30f67eee79ae1d45b9d6eadf7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Tikhonovaof Alina Tikhonova, Junhan Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Junhan Zhang | 13c | 965.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Junhan Zhang | 29c | 254.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Junhan Zhang | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Junhan Zhang | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Junhan Zhang | 29c | 225.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Junhan Zhang | 35c | 222.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Junhan Zhang | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Junhan Zhang | 13c | 169.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Junhan Zhang | 30c | 158.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Junhan Zhang | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Junhan Zhang | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Junhan Zhang | 37c | 87.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Alina Tikhonova | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alina Tikhonova | 72c | 56.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Alina Tikhonova | 68c | 51.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Alina Tikhonova | 64c | 49.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alina Tikhonova | 71c | 49.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…f577backed Junhan Zhang | 32c | 40.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Alina Tikhonova | 68c | 37.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Alina Tikhonova | 63c | 35.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Alina Tikhonova | 68c | 32.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Alina Tikhonova | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.