Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Xing Dao Chen vs Yuta Kawahashi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2997fad7af6bdfa858745875ca77b94a046cd6b948b5950ef528564bd9640dac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuta Kawahashiof Xing Dao Chen, Yuta Kawahashi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Yuta Kawahashi | 75c | 16,310$12,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.67 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Xing Dao Chen | 39c | 8,438$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.51 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Xing Dao Chen | 23c | 2,876$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.21 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xing Dao Chen | 25c | 2,138$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.21 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yuta Kawahashi | 70c | 1,439$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.42 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…bf0ebacked Yuta Kawahashi | 78c | 1,432$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Xing Dao Chen | 25c | 1,409$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.15 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Xing Dao Chen | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xing Dao Chen | 23c | 544.93$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Xing Dao Chen | 25c | 440$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Xing Dao Chen | 28c | 434.02$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xing Dao Chen | 24c | 312.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Xing Dao Chen | 22c | 306$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Xing Dao Chen | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Xing Dao Chen | 62c | 278.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yuta Kawahashi | 70c | 219$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yuta Kawahashi | 73c | 215.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 46c | 199.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yuta Kawahashi | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Xing Dao Chen | 25c | 119.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Xing Dao Chen | 23c | 115.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xing Dao Chen | 22c | 100.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Yuta Kawahashi | 73c | 67.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…3a35backed Xing Dao Chen | 28c | 64.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Xing Dao Chen | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Xing Dao Chen | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9652…16a5backed Yuta Kawahashi | 77c | 38.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 71c | 38.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 46c | 36.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…ebcdbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yuta Kawahashi | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…15c7backed Yuta Kawahashi | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Yuta Kawahashi | 70c | 21.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.