Tennis · resolved market
Cordoba: Valerio Aboian vs Carlos Maria Zarate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a69e29041d2f392df1bf4d4adb0b22346da2dc9a2bd8e16f778a382bd99a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valerio Aboianof Valerio Aboian, Carlos Maria Zarate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Valerio Aboian | 56c | 3,475$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.15 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 44c | 1,068$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.19 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…b5c5backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 19c | 939.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.11 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 43c | 919.98$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.59 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Valerio Aboian | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 10c | 454.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 45c | 448.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 20c | 436.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 18c | 398.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 41c | 337.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…8af1backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 23c | 304.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -14.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valerio Aboian | 77c | 303.72$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 16c | 296$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Valerio Aboian | 56c | 179.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed Valerio Aboian | 56c | 177.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Valerio Aboian | 56c | 171.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Valerio Aboian | 77c | 124$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 25c | 107.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Valerio Aboian | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Valerio Aboian | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 27c | 87.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 25c | 87.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 45c | 83.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Valerio Aboian | 75c | 79.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 28c | 61.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 236 | 34.7%82 W · 154 L | -37.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Valerio Aboian | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 45c | 44.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 43c | 40.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Valerio Aboian | 56c | 38.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 33c | 35.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Valerio Aboian | 55c | 35.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 46c | 21.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Valerio Aboian | 55c | 18.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Valerio Aboian | 78c | 17.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.