TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Morehead State Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Morehead State Eaglesof Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, Morehead State Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Morehead State Eagles12c3,343$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.153,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks69c1,971$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.662,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks67c1,818$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.4460548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Morehead State Eagles24c1,212$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.4142327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Morehead State Eagles37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6305152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Morehead State Eagles33c791$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Morehead State Eagles39c775.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.710126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks72c671.83$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.821,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Morehead State Eagles9c665.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.485,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks6c600$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.613313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks66c593.57$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.761,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Morehead State Eagles71c565.38$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.734757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Morehead State Eagles24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38043450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks8c417.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.071608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks34c408.24$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.89235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks69c385.52$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.461,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks60c311$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.272,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Morehead State Eagles21c291.39$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.341,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Morehead State Eagles36c242$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.33,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks71c228.23$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.464,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks13c202.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.438814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Morehead State Eagles33c193$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.631,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Morehead State Eagles33c168.55$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.934,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks78c167.06$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.031,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.291,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Morehead State Eagles20c88.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.956931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Morehead State Eagles34c80.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3dc…ece8backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks22c72.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Morehead State Eagles23c65.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.769412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Morehead State Eagles19c51.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8245644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks63c50.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.115,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Morehead State Eagles34c47.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.563,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Morehead State Eagles23c47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.191,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks77c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6449747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1477…60abbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks56c30.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13b…24abbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks79c22.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.