Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a4643aee444a186c19e50072abcf46f1e5cdbe039442eaf1195e0af33f29abc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 28c | 930.5$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.96 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 72c | 923.74$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.1 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…0273backed Over | 72c | 823.06$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 724.54$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.61 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 55c | 602.7$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.34 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 545.63$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.15 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 399.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 65c | 362.95$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Over | 30c | 340.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 70c | 197$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed Over | 27c | 182.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Over | 65c | 171.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 72c | 158$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42a…87d6backed Over | 61c | 131.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 124.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd8…c26ebacked Over | 45c | 121.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Over | 36c | 94.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 29c | 86.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 79c | 65.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 49c | 57.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 27c | 56.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…a095backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…bc65backed Under | 64c | 46.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa8…0d07backed Over | 45c | 37.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 52c | 34.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Over | 64c | 32.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…a97ebacked Under | 48c | 27.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Under | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 42c | 26.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 48c | 23.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…4831backed Over | 78c | 20.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 79c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.