Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aef0a686e2ebc7a4f5d391e83a1e1eaa1606edd44fede179c5d7b857405ab84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 61c | 896.27$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.36 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…ad6bbacked No | 52c | 490.41$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 66c | 247.68$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 47c | 218.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…dd57backed Yes | 56c | 213.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b2…e50abacked Yes | 58c | 206.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Yes | 66c | 189.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 168.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 76c | 164.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 661 | 44.5%294 W · 367 L | +57.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1558…4f75backed No | 46c | 156.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 12c | 141$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…6690backed Yes | 40c | 139.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…722ebacked Yes | 38c | 130.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 45c | 130.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 32c | 117.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 44c | 101.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…8a80backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…9c82backed No | 51c | 95.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 39c | 92.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 46c | 88.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…c095backed Yes | 54c | 86.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 86.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 34c | 85.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 63c | 85.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 51c | 83.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed No | 50c | 79.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 52c | 74.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 66c | 70.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…a7d6backed Yes | 44c | 67.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531e…a7b3backed Yes | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 61c | 56.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 40c | 54.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…8809backed Yes | 56c | 49.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…9745backed Yes | 46c | 45.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 60c | 43.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed No | 42c | 41.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 41.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 36c | 40.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…e591backed Yes | 34c | 40.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…c4c5backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 38c | 38.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 27c | 37.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…4572backed Yes | 34c | 35.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…815abacked No | 58c | 35.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 29c | 35.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 34.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a11…46a3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…9120backed Yes | 39c | 32.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…b5f2backed No | 63c | 30.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…1b7cbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…2722backed No | 62c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…6c48backed Yes | 69c | 28.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…8945backed No | 63c | 28.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 253 | 41.5%105 W · 148 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 36c | 28.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed No | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 153 | 30.7%47 W · 106 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 39c | 25.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe983…a371backed Yes | 42c | 25.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed Yes | 44c | 24.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…4092backed Yes | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…19f4backed No | 60c | 22.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 66c | 22.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 53c | 21.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 71c | 19.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…921abacked No | 55c | 19.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…3d0abacked No | 67c | 19.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 56°F or higher on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.