MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b0fea146af2aa23abaf56612274bc4a82396bc622d417050269a70353cfd4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62c0…db73backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 1,851$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.88 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 1,551$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.8 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,416$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.25 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 687.89$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.96 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 500.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 490$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 423$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 284$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 253.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 182$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 156.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 155.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 126.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 118.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 79.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 64.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 64.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 63.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 55.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 49.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 47.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…5e1fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 46.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 39.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 38.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…fe4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 32.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…ff82backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 28.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 25.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…96a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 22.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati RedsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.