TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
KFUM-Kameratene Osloof Lillestrøm SK, KFUM-Kameratene Oslo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,420 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Lillestrøm SK21c10,730$2,237 inLost-$2,236.962,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo79c7,051$5,558 inWon+$1,492.797,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Lillestrøm SK34c3,248$1,101 inLost-$1,1016634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Lillestrøm SK35c1,691$592 inLost-$592.152846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo64c781$500 inWon+$281.161,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo64c781$500 inWon+$281.161,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo65c781$508 inWon+$273.471,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo65c743.8$483 inWon+$260.3377350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo72c701.45$506 inWon+$194.952,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo65c558.28$363 inWon+$195.4485250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo64c490.36$314 inWon+$176.5332436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Lillestrøm SK8c380.5$31 inLost-$31.222,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lillestrøm SK31c362.07$113 inLost-$113.0671533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo80c337.17$270 inWon+$67.542,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo74c173.94$129 inWon+$45.2255954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Lillestrøm SK35c140$49 inLost-$4911841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo76c123$94 inWon+$29.1129754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo65c117.42$76 inWon+$41.052,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Lillestrøm SK36c105.56$38 inLost-$389443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Lillestrøm SK15c100$15 inLost-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Lillestrøm SK36c100$36 inLost-$362128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo77c100$77 inWon+$2311022.7%25 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo65c90$58 inWon+$31.9526051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo68c79.4$54 inWon+$25.2587745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…dd2bbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo75c69.33$52 inWon+$17.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Lillestrøm SK35c63.94$22 inLost-$22.389045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo65c59.8$39 inWon+$20.9328049.6%139 W · 141 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Lillestrøm SK35c54.4$19 inLost-$19.0473440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda30…64bebacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo78c27.36$21 inWon+$6.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo65c25$16 inWon+$8.756866.2%45 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo65c25$16 inWon+$8.756361.9%39 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf596…45e8backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo78c17.04$13 inWon+$3.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.