Other European Leagues · resolved market
Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7e85d34a8ad70671fd7a28c75b51f38238bdaf2c67878088dc15138dab4ab09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 3,490$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 14c | 1,505$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 1,378$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.24 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 47c | 1,274$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 54c | 888.89$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 17c | 530.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 11c | 466.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 464$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 464$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 53c | 432.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.11 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 18c | 277.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 20c | 209.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 181.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 79c | 146.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 135.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 50c | 135.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 76.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 19c | 76.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Under | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 24c | 60.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 52c | 59.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 51c | 53.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 26c | 49.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 47.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 52c | 46.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…5b7bbacked Under | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 77c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 43c | 24.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…7e45backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 3.5this page
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo O/U 1.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: Lillestrøm SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: Lillestrøm SK O/U 1.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: Lillestrøm SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)KFUM-Kameratene Oslo won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-2.5)KFUM-Kameratene Oslo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.