NHL · resolved market
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b513bcc2cda90a22525cbdaf62bda6893547b1d0513d7148daf27d46a740bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Spartak Moscow, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6540…d055backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Spartak Moscow | 37c | 1,578$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spartak Moscow | 17c | 230.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 186.13$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…29a7backed Spartak Moscow | 36c | 185.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Spartak Moscow | 29c | 167.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spartak Moscow | 37c | 166$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 63c | 163.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Spartak Moscow | 36c | 132.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Spartak Moscow | 38c | 129.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 76c | 102.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Spartak Moscow | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 98.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 54c | 96.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 62.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 61c | 47.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 30.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…38d2backed Spartak Moscow | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 27.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…242bbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 22.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d14…abaebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 78c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 63c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 15.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.