Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast, Women: Essex vs Surrey
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b67b9048a1a1b5c7b9c1880f2abdc50511f36a8a1e3ff830f59fb2f6a9f3c2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Essexof Essex, Surrey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Surrey | 52c | 2,341$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.71 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Essex | 56c | 483.44$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Essex | 57c | 459.75$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Essex | 56c | 459$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.34 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Essex | 47c | 430.88$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Surrey | 31c | 255.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Surrey | 13c | 247.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Surrey | 41c | 211.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Essex | 44c | 206.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Surrey | 44c | 205.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Surrey | 29c | 197.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Essex | 68c | 187$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Essex | 74c | 151.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Surrey | 41c | 145.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Surrey | 49c | 139.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Essex | 63c | 108.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Essex | 23c | 107.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Essex | 78c | 104$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Essex | 19c | 76.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Surrey | 53c | 68.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Surrey | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Surrey | 32c | 55.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Essex | 49c | 53.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Surrey | 29c | 35.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…5438backed Surrey | 37c | 34.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Surrey | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.