Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Haruka Kaji vs Taylah Preston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bb14035614b24d2ea7410f063293a4fc5fcb6de69c375f175da75c91bf8eb57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taylah Prestonof Haruka Kaji, Taylah Preston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Haruka Kaji | 14c | 18,736$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.24 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Haruka Kaji | 23c | 11,782$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.2 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Taylah Preston | 74c | 8,342$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.82 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Haruka Kaji | 19c | 7,800$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.59 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Haruka Kaji | 13c | 7,371$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.7 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Taylah Preston | 77c | 7,071$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Haruka Kaji | 23c | 1,513$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.54 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Haruka Kaji | 17c | 1,506$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.24 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Taylah Preston | 79c | 1,480$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.77 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Taylah Preston | 80c | 1,422$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.12 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Haruka Kaji | 15c | 1,232$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.11 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Haruka Kaji | 14c | 689.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Haruka Kaji | 9c | 524.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Haruka Kaji | 15c | 456.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Haruka Kaji | 15c | 280.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Haruka Kaji | 6c | 250.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Haruka Kaji | 17c | 232.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Haruka Kaji | 24c | 208.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Haruka Kaji | 22c | 155.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Haruka Kaji | 11c | 150.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Taylah Preston | 73c | 135.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Haruka Kaji | 25c | 116.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Taylah Preston | 77c | 109.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Taylah Preston | 75c | 106.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Taylah Preston | 76c | 99.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Haruka Kaji | 21c | 94.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Haruka Kaji | 23c | 81.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Haruka Kaji | 24c | 80.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Taylah Preston | 78c | 76.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Haruka Kaji | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 40.9%70 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Taylah Preston | 75c | 76.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Taylah Preston | 76c | 76.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Taylah Preston | 79c | 75.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Taylah Preston | 75c | 71.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Haruka Kaji | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Haruka Kaji | 22c | 61.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…5a0ebacked Taylah Preston | 79c | 43.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Taylah Preston | 75c | 40.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Taylah Preston | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…880abacked Taylah Preston | 77c | 36.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Taylah Preston | 77c | 31.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Taylah Preston | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Taylah Preston | 77c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Taylah Preston | 76c | 25.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Taylah Preston | 75c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Taylah Preston | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Taylah Preston | 76c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver: Haruka Kaji vs Taylah Prestonthis page
- Set Handicap: Kaji (-1.5) vs Preston (+1.5)Preston won
- Set Handicap: Preston (-1.5) vs Kaji (+1.5)Preston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.