Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 1 Haiti?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd2b412b4011f54764f7fa018e8fc748e45b27b729f9bd7e54057e3d11299ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 5c | 21,096$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.95 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 6,028$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 17c | 2,705$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.2 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,726$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,621$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…4499backed Yes | 7c | 1,422$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 1,077$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,010$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 5c | 923.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…d6cdbacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 32.5%63 W · 131 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 5c | 740$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 11c | 665.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…2886backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 16c | 462.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 16c | 402.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…340ebacked Yes | 7c | 390$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 14c | 371.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2226…e118backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…afc9backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 5c | 294$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 19c | 236.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…3eb7backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf9…c81bbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…64fbbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…e9abbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 10c | 196.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 7c | 157.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…f819backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 19c | 129.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 19c | 129.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…cd34backed Yes | 16c | 124.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 16c | 119$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 12c | 104$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51d…a901backed Yes | 14c | 103.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 16c | 77.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…dfabbacked Yes | 19c | 76.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…2525backed Yes | 18c | 65.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 1 Haiti?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 0 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 1 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 2 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 3 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 0 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 2 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 3 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 0 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 1 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 2 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 3 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 0 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 1 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 2 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 3 Haiti?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.