Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 0 Haiti?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3916a369b7ef860f6f51ca26a02b9015a2049e6e06ca304e9d36c57cc2a17e86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 7,759$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 3,427$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 1,184$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 11c | 890.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…ac8dbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 11c | 727.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…94e9backed Yes | 11c | 590.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 11c | 510$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…aaf5backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 26.7%28 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…08f1backed Yes | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f9…bffbbacked Yes | 11c | 401.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 321.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 38.1%51 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 11c | 252$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…693abacked Yes | 12c | 241.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 13c | 217.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Yes | 11c | 207.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 206.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 200.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…e614backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…a9c3backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 11c | 160.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 11c | 152.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…97cebacked Yes | 15c | 136.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 15c | 136.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…1399backed Yes | 11c | 135$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 131$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…cfe0backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 10c | 129.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…6ae0backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…1ba8backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…9dddbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…4b0abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 0 Haiti?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 0 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 1 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 2 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 3 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 1 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 2 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 3 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 0 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 1 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 2 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 3 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 0 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 1 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 2 Haiti?No won
- Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 3 Haiti?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.