Tennis · resolved market
Joao Fonseca vs. Dino Prizmic: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cd8e98f7258860c5f827236d008244a346fe1be1de4bcb6c76cb6342598a5a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 6,336$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.53 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…c066backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 4,270$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over 3.5 | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.47 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 999.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 923.39$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.48 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 498.47$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 372.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 372$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 323.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 279.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 276.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 204.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 178$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 151.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 128$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…577abacked Over 3.5 | 68c | 118.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…c850backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 97.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 73.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Over 3.5 | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…1d08backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 37.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 31.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…525cbacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…18d6backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 29.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…8e55backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 28.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Joao Fonseca vs. Dino Prizmic: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Fonseca vs. Prizmic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino PrizmicJoao Fonseca won
- Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs PrizmicPrizmic won
- Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)Prizmic won
- Set Handicap: Fonseca (-2.5) vs Prizmic (+2.5)Prizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.