Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: Fares Zakaria vs Alex Rybakov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d0145ff90f9fbb8ce53cf9b0fa05a5a6eaed4c168abf0e3e0d2badd62c7ee89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Rybakovof Fares Zakaria, Alex Rybakov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Fares Zakaria | 23c | 6,092$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.16 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Rybakov | 77c | 2,265$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.9 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fares Zakaria | 5c | 1,685$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Rybakov | 77c | 1,611$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.57 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fares Zakaria | 6c | 1,147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Fares Zakaria | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Fares Zakaria | 12c | 473.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fares Zakaria | 7c | 423.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fares Zakaria | 5c | 285.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fares Zakaria | 8c | 171.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Fares Zakaria | 8c | 170.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Fares Zakaria | 14c | 169.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…055bbacked Fares Zakaria | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Fares Zakaria | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Fares Zakaria | 23c | 121.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Rybakov | 77c | 113$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Alex Rybakov | 77c | 109.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Fares Zakaria | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Fares Zakaria | 23c | 103.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fares Zakaria | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Alex Rybakov | 77c | 73.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alex Rybakov | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Alex Rybakov | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Alex Rybakov | 79c | 44.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked Alex Rybakov | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Rybakov | 77c | 32.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Alex Rybakov | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Alex Rybakov | 78c | 21.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Alex Rybakov | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.