Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d0f494d0e18c5f4a546cbb4643ff174da549347d2588f491528dbec00ec5bf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 2,346$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…8cc6backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 1,367$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx | 78c | 1,335$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.35 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Lynx | 65c | 1,276$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.73 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Lynx | 68c | 991.72$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.07 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 937.06$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 908.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Lynx | 67c | 897.98$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.81 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Lynx | 74c | 844.04$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.77 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 799.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 751.28$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 693.43$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.71 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 672.72$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.53 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 611.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Lynx | 70c | 569.58$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.77 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nemiga Gaming | 13c | 459.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 419.65$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Team Lynx | 71c | 419.09$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Lynx | 69c | 353.8$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 346.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…dbd2backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 344.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 332.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Lynx | 61c | 319.02$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 302.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Team Lynx | 65c | 298.02$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Lynx | 79c | 260.68$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 245.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 221.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 8c | 203.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Lynx | 68c | 198.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 197.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nemiga Gaming | 9c | 195.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 175.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 161.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Team Lynx | 66c | 151.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 144.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…2b7fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 143.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Lynx | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 105.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Team Lynx | 75c | 79.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Lynx | 65c | 75.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 73.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Team Lynx | 68c | 72.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 71.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…ec09backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Lynx | 74c | 67.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 64.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Lynx | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 58.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Team Lynx | 72c | 54.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Lynx | 75c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…51f8backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Team Lynx | 70c | 47.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Lynx | 78c | 44.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Team Lynx | 72c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Team Lynx | 74c | 39.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Lynx | 72c | 39.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Team Lynx | 72c | 39.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Team Lynx | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 37.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Lynx | 65c | 37.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Team Lynx | 69c | 33.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 32.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Team Lynx | 66c | 32.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…a5aabacked Team Lynx | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Team Lynx | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Team Lynx | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed Team Lynx | 65c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Team Lynx | 69c | 16.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…8345backed Team Lynx | 79c | 15.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a1…28f9backed Team Lynx | 70c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.