Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69179c8c2c351d9ea562c65d284034624fa84e52d028aecccce9f2d510f841d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Team Lynx, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 5,734$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.63 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 5,401$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.31 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 3,452$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.99 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 3,136$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.13 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 2,494$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.76 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Lynx | 69c | 2,296$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.4 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team Lynx | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.99 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3a…a7b3backed Team Lynx | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Lynx | 55c | 938.63$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.36 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 911.71$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.2 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…8cc6backed Team Lynx | 56c | 872.86$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Lynx | 42c | 869.02$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.02 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 865.66$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.86 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 828.3$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.11 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 791.65$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.85 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Lynx | 16c | 791.12$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 763.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.29 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 649.26$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.98 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Lynx | 62c | 631.62$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.71 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 546.52$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 450$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 362.28$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Lynx | 38c | 355.92$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Lynx | 54c | 333.08$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx | 51c | 322.06$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 308.9$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Team Lynx | 38c | 306.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Lynx | 40c | 299.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Lynx | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Lynx | 69c | 196.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 193.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Lynx | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Lynx | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Team Lynx | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 129.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Lynx | 63c | 121.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Team Lynx | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c9…217dbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 99.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 97.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 96.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 58.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa86d…575fbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 51.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Team Lynx | 44c | 50.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Team Lynx | 71c | 40.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 37.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 33.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 30.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 25.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 17.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group ATeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.