College Football · resolved market
Minnesota vs. Iowa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d1c71db216f7abf4cf672b4f1bbf7d31d9efa8ac6f5093c5c4d409dc26f36f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowaof Minnesota, Iowa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Iowa | 74c | 50,796$37,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,315.83 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota | 22c | 28,658$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344.47 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Minnesota | 26c | 25,874$6,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,727.35 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Minnesota | 26c | 13,000$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Iowa | 76c | 6,581$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.75 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa | 75c | 4,976$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Minnesota | 26c | 4,467$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.33 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Minnesota | 25c | 4,378$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.56 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Minnesota | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa | 71c | 3,176$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.62 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Iowa | 75c | 2,597$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.25 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Minnesota | 25c | 2,250$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.38 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa | 80c | 1,611$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.2 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota | 24c | 1,280$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Minnesota | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Iowa | 74c | 981.96$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.31 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Minnesota | 25c | 954.11$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.53 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa | 74c | 750.69$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.18 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Minnesota | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Iowa | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Minnesota | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Minnesota | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Minnesota | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Iowa | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Iowa | 74c | 326.66$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Minnesota | 25c | 224.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Minnesota | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Iowa | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…383dbacked Minnesota | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Minnesota | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Iowa | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Iowa | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Minnesota | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Minnesota | 27c | 98.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…b42cbacked Minnesota | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Minnesota | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Minnesota | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Minnesota | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Iowa | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Iowa | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Iowa | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Iowa | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Minnesota | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed Iowa | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…3e83backed Iowa | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Iowa | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota vs. Iowathis page
- O/U 38.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa (-8.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Iowa (-9.5)Iowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.