Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dallas: Alina Shcherbinina vs Hanna Chang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d432b456684d1d6035217ea19cf909712ffacbf51dc581ea697bdfcab4fbd5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanna Changof Alina Shcherbinina, Hanna Chang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alina Shcherbinina | 61c | 10,804$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,564.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 1c | 7,708$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alina Shcherbinina | 1c | 4,119$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alina Shcherbinina | 26c | 4,041$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hanna Chang | 44c | 3,135$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Alina Shcherbinina | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Hanna Chang | 47c | 2,584$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.3 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Alina Shcherbinina | 2c | 2,447$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Hanna Chang | 35c | 2,249$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.7 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Hanna Chang | 30c | 2,068$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.21 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 55c | 993.04$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hanna Chang | 36c | 819.54$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.07 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Alina Shcherbinina | 58c | 719.66$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.12 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hanna Chang | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Alina Shcherbinina | 61c | 430.3$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.95 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Alina Shcherbinina | 56c | 417.95$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 23c | 391.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Alina Shcherbinina | 50c | 366.13$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Hanna Chang | 44c | 225.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Alina Shcherbinina | 52c | 219.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Alina Shcherbinina | 25c | 199.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hanna Chang | 44c | 187.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…3e71backed Alina Shcherbinina | 64c | 166.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 66c | 150.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Hanna Chang | 77c | 143.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Hanna Chang | 47c | 129$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Hanna Chang | 33c | 97.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Hanna Chang | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Hanna Chang | 45c | 92.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hanna Chang | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Hanna Chang | 23c | 84.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Hanna Chang | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 37c | 74.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 39c | 72.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Hanna Chang | 33c | 67.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alina Shcherbinina | 45c | 62.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hanna Chang | 35c | 61.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Hanna Chang | 33c | 57.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Hanna Chang | 33c | 56.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanna Chang | 44c | 50.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 37c | 48.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Hanna Chang | 33c | 47.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hanna Chang | 60c | 46.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Hanna Chang | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hanna Chang | 44c | 39.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Hanna Chang | 47c | 36.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 64c | 34.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Hanna Chang | 52c | 32.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hanna Chang | 36c | 28.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 53c | 27.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Alina Shcherbinina | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Alina Shcherbinina | 73c | 23.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Alina Shcherbinina | 71c | 23.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Hanna Chang | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Hanna Chang | 60c | 19.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Hanna Chang | 71c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.