Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d4498c507cda655ab4e5fc80d18fcd71a433e0a136239f3c241d8ea5550e850
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,049$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.02 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 76c | 636.51$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…4493backed No | 4c | 428.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 384.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 51c | 377.79$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked No | 23c | 320.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…66a5backed No | 5c | 307.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…88e2backed Yes | 65c | 296.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 72c | 276.04$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.68 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 39c | 234.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 33c | 220.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 13c | 166.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 27c | 161.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 57c | 143.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 142.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 34c | 121.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…fd6abacked Yes | 59c | 117.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 54c | 114.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…4df3backed Yes | 54c | 109.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81a…dce9backed No | 47c | 108.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 47c | 96.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 73c | 92.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 60c | 82.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 46c | 79.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 36c | 78.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 30c | 75.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…4e48backed Yes | 28c | 66.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 23c | 64.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 63.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 34c | 62.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 26c | 62.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…ad2cbacked Yes | 24c | 53.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…bad2backed No | 49c | 52.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 36c | 50.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 31c | 49.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 74c | 49.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 41c | 49.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 49.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 32c | 48.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 54c | 47.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…76afbacked No | 72c | 47.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 37c | 47.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 53c | 47.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 41c | 46.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fa82backed No | 53c | 45.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…6191backed Yes | 44c | 45.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 56c | 44.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 39c | 43.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 44c | 42.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21c…8828backed Yes | 27c | 42.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…5e04backed No | 46c | 41.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 30c | 39.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 64c | 39.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…3bedbacked Yes | 28c | 37.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…1450backed No | 79c | 36.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -21.9wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 30c | 35.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 70c | 35.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…58b4backed No | 49c | 35.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…23a6backed No | 74c | 34.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 74c | 32.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed No | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…bedcbacked No | 48c | 31.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…0e02backed No | 76c | 31.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 50c | 31.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…376ebacked Yes | 65c | 29.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 52c | 29.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…501bbacked No | 73c | 29.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 78c | 28.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed No | 41c | 28.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Yes | 65c | 27.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d1…7ab7backed No | 73c | 27.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…a14cbacked Yes | 41c | 27.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed Yes | 74c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 23.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 59c | 23.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 74c | 22.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae6…6dd3backed No | 63c | 22.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…abdbbacked Yes | 48c | 20.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…fb8bbacked Yes | 79c | 19.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…a0a8backed No | 58c | 19.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…66ddbacked Yes | 68c | 19.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 75c | 18.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…7b70backed No | 61c | 18.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c24…81e9backed Yes | 56c | 18.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 68c | 15.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…fe90backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 76c | 14.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 77c | 14.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…835cbacked No | 75c | 14.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.