Tennis · resolved market
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Enrico Dalla Valle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d49aa1658d68f87fd5c335849dfb07c8caed470f439c09819a23616dcb5eeee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Ofnerof Sebastian Ofner, Enrico Dalla Valle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 15c | 4,309$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 33c | 1,092$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.16 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 25c | 999.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 12c | 597.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Sebastian Ofner | 69c | 589.64$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.94 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 16c | 522.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 13c | 518.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 26c | 372.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 17c | 265.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 31c | 263.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sebastian Ofner | 68c | 250.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 20c | 235.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 18c | 230.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 228.84$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 11c | 215.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 33c | 196.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80b…b047backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 8c | 180.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sebastian Ofner | 69c | 171.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 137.88$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 16c | 122.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 16c | 111.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 93.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 23c | 85.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 16c | 76.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Sebastian Ofner | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Sebastian Ofner | 67c | 69.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 43.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 79c | 37.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 31c | 35.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 30.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sebastian Ofner | 73c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Sebastian Ofner | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.