Tennis · resolved market
ITF Alkmaar: Charlotte Narti vs Rikke De Koning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d5e6b42cfb21d59ab16b91fc81a66b3c05edfe4f54aaff593065abfb60a0c84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte Nartiof Charlotte Narti, Rikke De Koning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rikke De Koning | 46c | 673.23$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.74 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Charlotte Narti | 70c | 615.11$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Charlotte Narti | 26c | 514.59$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.97 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Charlotte Narti | 32c | 450.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.44 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rikke De Koning | 54c | 314.3$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Charlotte Narti | 77c | 255$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rikke De Koning | 70c | 240.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Rikke De Koning | 69c | 214.13$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Charlotte Narti | 31c | 195.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Rikke De Koning | 67c | 173.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rikke De Koning | 49c | 156.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Charlotte Narti | 72c | 152.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Rikke De Koning | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Charlotte Narti | 30c | 138.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Rikke De Koning | 69c | 130.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rikke De Koning | 70c | 128.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Charlotte Narti | 75c | 123$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Charlotte Narti | 31c | 89.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Charlotte Narti | 60c | 83.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Rikke De Koning | 68c | 80.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Charlotte Narti | 39c | 77.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Charlotte Narti | 56c | 53.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Charlotte Narti | 31c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Charlotte Narti | 65c | 47.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Charlotte Narti | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Rikke De Koning | 49c | 26.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Charlotte Narti | 75c | 25.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Charlotte Narti | 67c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Charlotte Narti | 78c | 21.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Rikke De Koning | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Rikke De Koning | 69c | 19.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Rikke De Koning | 69c | 16.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.