MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d8a314dfb6fe0e93b7693933a08f0ab27afe2779f88abf7bbea5a46df9eb3d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 65c | 87,707$57,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,009.01 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,599.94 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 64,564$23,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,562.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 51c | 46,287$23,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,557.28 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 40c | 31,870$12,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,243.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 6,231$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 4,405$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.68 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 52c | 4,139$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.6 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Under | 4c | 2,478$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 46c | 2,261$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.08 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 1,517$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.1 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 52c | 1,515$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.98 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.01 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 1,111$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 55c | 1,104$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.19 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 52c | 934.9$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.75 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 46c | 783.8$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.02 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 52c | 676.14$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.55 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 52c | 560.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 55c | 516.36$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Over | 42c | 419.91$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.55 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 53c | 367.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Over | 33c | 340$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.1 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 318.8$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.3 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 33c | 318.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.94 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 297.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 282.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 47c | 281.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 59c | 271$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 55c | 264.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 211.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 46c | 182$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Over | 43c | 180.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 57c | 180.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 41c | 94.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 23c | 88.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 52c | 88.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 86.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 38c | 79.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 43c | 78.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 52c | 73.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 62c | 68.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 49c | 66.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 52c | 62.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 49c | 52.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 47c | 50.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 50.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 43.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 54c | 42.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 42.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Under | 55c | 36.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 52c | 34.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 46c | 31.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 52c | 31.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 46c | 29.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 52c | 27.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 25.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…f944backed Under | 59c | 24.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 52c | 24.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 45c | 24.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Over | 54c | 20.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…d327backed Under | 58c | 19.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…9729backed Under | 73c | 14.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.