Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d93d6de9473ae8f5133886a044e50c0a99f5e9a40528775a16488b7020faaf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd422…7e43backed Yes | 78c | 14,493$11,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 2,728$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 11c | 2,439$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.75 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 22c | 1,875$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 23c | 1,553$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.29 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 9c | 1,368$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 22c | 1,123$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 22c | 1,071$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 22c | 607.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 20c | 547.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 20c | 513.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 78c | 384.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 3c | 355$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked No | 28c | 259.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 20c | 257$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 80c | 164.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 126.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed No | 9c | 111.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Yes | 75c | 89.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 23c | 86.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ff…c53abacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Yes | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Valur win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.