Champions League · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2da82ca66ba841781ad215353f8a74b0083ebfcb3b8f478318d1fda5d26f374e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,927$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.57 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 17c | 2,370$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.32 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 20c | 2,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 80c | 1,080$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 1,047$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.47 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 49c | 509.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 80c | 450$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 410.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 18c | 369.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 267.16$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 42c | 194.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 186.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 10c | 177$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 135.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 60c | 134$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 41c | 97.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 50c | 76.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 65.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…43cfbacked Over | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 17c | 60.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 42c | 59.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 48c | 54.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…4593backed Over | 50c | 40.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 23.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 72c | 22.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 72c | 21.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…25d2backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 70c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.