Tennis · resolved market
Parma: Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db2a7e27dc7a643f67f586f772e6d3ccaef12ef7c0c656c23484fac6e52d5cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federica Urgesiof Federica Urgesi, Maja Chwalinska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Maja Chwalinska | 66c | 10,735$7,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.79 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Federica Urgesi | 54c | 7,435$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.07 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Federica Urgesi | 13c | 4,999$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.22 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federica Urgesi | 24c | 3,255$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.55 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Federica Urgesi | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Maja Chwalinska | 64c | 1,552$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maja Chwalinska | 46c | 1,054$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.78 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Federica Urgesi | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Maja Chwalinska | 41c | 835.13$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maja Chwalinska | 67c | 783.47$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.51 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…d248backed Maja Chwalinska | 64c | 781.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Federica Urgesi | 33c | 763.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.77 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Federica Urgesi | 36c | 757.77$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.44 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Federica Urgesi | 47c | 672.98$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.85 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maja Chwalinska | 59c | 598.09$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.52 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Federica Urgesi | 13c | 529.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.39 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Maja Chwalinska | 66c | 367$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.22 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Federica Urgesi | 15c | 351.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Federica Urgesi | 8c | 330.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.95 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Federica Urgesi | 12c | 310.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.53 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maja Chwalinska | 41c | 295$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Federica Urgesi | 14c | 258.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.47 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Federica Urgesi | 12c | 238.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Maja Chwalinska | 13c | 232.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maja Chwalinska | 69c | 218$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed Federica Urgesi | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Federica Urgesi | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Maja Chwalinska | 49c | 195.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Maja Chwalinska | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Federica Urgesi | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Maja Chwalinska | 65c | 149.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Maja Chwalinska | 40c | 129.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 476 | 49.6%236 W · 240 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Maja Chwalinska | 40c | 114$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Federica Urgesi | 43c | 111.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Federica Urgesi | 21c | 108.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Maja Chwalinska | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Federica Urgesi | 20c | 98.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Federica Urgesi | 13c | 77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Federica Urgesi | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Maja Chwalinska | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…1b5bbacked Maja Chwalinska | 48c | 59.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Federica Urgesi | 44c | 57.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed Maja Chwalinska | 74c | 53.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Maja Chwalinska | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Maja Chwalinska | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Maja Chwalinska | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…5985backed Federica Urgesi | 33c | 47.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Federica Urgesi | 54c | 39.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Federica Urgesi | 41c | 32.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked Maja Chwalinska | 60c | 31.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Maja Chwalinska | 66c | 17.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.