MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2deaf32bd2a6d9d42f702db5fd51606a23f74fe20ac76d156402cea641b4f939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rockies | 38c | 16,977$6,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,447.14 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Rockies | 45c | 7,594$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.73 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 62c | 5,354$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.41 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 55c | 4,210$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.45 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tigers | 54c | 1,646$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.9 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 62c | 1,474$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 33c | 1,270$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tigers | 54c | 1,188$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.57 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Rockies | 36c | 1,067$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.94 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Rockies | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers | 64c | 897.44$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers | 62c | 806$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 67c | 634$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.88 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 55c | 500$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 63c | 473.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.71 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tigers | 54c | 470$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers | 67c | 379.84$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 37c | 349.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 63c | 317.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Tigers | 63c | 266$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Tigers | 60c | 224.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Tigers | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Rockies | 37c | 194.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers | 67c | 193.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Tigers | 64c | 159.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tigers | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Tigers | 64c | 147.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Tigers | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 64c | 70.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Tigers | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tigers | 68c | 52.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 64c | 47.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Tigers | 64c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Rockies | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…bb6bbacked Tigers | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 59c | 19.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…1f7cbacked Tigers | 73c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.