Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BOOM (-2.5) vs Orbit Anonymo (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e48f0282f4910aa0f08b256e2323b8c4e19ee7b032fe7d206d2bc45c7fa180d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOMBA Teamof BOMBA Team, Orbit Anonymo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 3,381$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.76 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked BOMBA Team | 45c | 2,967$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.55 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed BOMBA Team | 54c | 2,295$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.79 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed BOMBA Team | 49c | 1,216$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.18 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed BOMBA Team | 51c | 1,189$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.35 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Orbit Anonymo | 50c | 866.85$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.69 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed BOMBA Team | 55c | 728.28$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.76 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Orbit Anonymo | 50c | 604$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 600$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Orbit Anonymo | 48c | 531$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.63 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 229.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Orbit Anonymo | 51c | 205.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked BOMBA Team | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…d1acbacked Orbit Anonymo | 51c | 190.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked BOMBA Team | 67c | 169.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BOMBA Team | 47c | 166$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Orbit Anonymo | 49c | 147.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 103.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed BOMBA Team | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 173 | 66.5%115 W · 58 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Orbit Anonymo | 32c | 84.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 76.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed BOMBA Team | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Orbit Anonymo | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Orbit Anonymo | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 41c | 30.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fc85backed Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 30.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BOMBA Team | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BOOM (-2.5) vs Orbit Anonymo (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsBOMBA Team won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 1 WinnerBOMBA Team won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 2 WinnerBOMBA Team won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 3 WinnerBOMBA Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.