Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd3d88405d7fac86bd757b6b21560444342f1d108fec7b9900bc27d85f060f5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 53c | 3,186$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.58 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Over | 46c | 2,356$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.76 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Under | 58c | 1,503$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.68 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 53c | 1,167$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.2 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 53c | 1,099$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.4 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 43c | 777.94$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.66 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 524$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 45c | 521$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.97 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 43c | 435.43$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 44c | 313.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 48c | 244.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Over | 43c | 219.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 43c | 209.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 42c | 178.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 49c | 165.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Over | 47c | 162.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 62c | 162.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 43c | 148.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 38c | 126.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 54c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 76.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 54c | 57.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 42c | 42.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 37.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 44c | 37.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Over | 43c | 30.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…9831backed Under | 53c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 56c | 20.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: BOOM (-2.5) vs Orbit Anonymo (+2.5)BOMBA Team won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsBOMBA Team won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 1 WinnerBOMBA Team won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 2 WinnerBOMBA Team won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 3 WinnerBOMBA Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.