CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e97ed99787caaf7e7f22931b01073028d8842ae8ad8f275000ca5238039775b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eternal Fire | 53c | 5,518$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.44 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked fnatic | 54c | 5,467$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked fnatic | 40c | 1,032$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.08 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed fnatic | 53c | 900$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.95 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked fnatic | 45c | 800$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 700.83$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.96 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 532.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 499.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.54 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 326.61$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 229.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 225$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed fnatic | 50c | 190.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 181.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked fnatic | 58c | 136.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed fnatic | 33c | 120.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 30c | 106.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic | 21c | 103.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed fnatic | 23c | 96.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 95.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 88.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 85.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed fnatic | 62c | 81.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 71c | 80.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 71.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed fnatic | 21c | 47.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked fnatic | 33c | 45.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 42.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.