CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23af9a7f8041029ac9d5b526574b138b6bb7b3645fb1f9853bf59d5ab6c25d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof Eternal Fire, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eternal Fire | 27c | 5,464$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.65 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked fnatic | 77c | 2,582$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.75 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8051…2ab5backed fnatic | 50c | 2,016$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…8fd6backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 1,245$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed fnatic | 45c | 969.37$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.02 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Eternal Fire | 24c | 891.95$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 869$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.71 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 28c | 672.34$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Eternal Fire | 27c | 600.26$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 585.71$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 17c | 520.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed fnatic | 66c | 497.94$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 56c | 475.07$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 461.62$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Eternal Fire | 36c | 452.86$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked fnatic | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed fnatic | 67c | 399.27$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Eternal Fire | 32c | 309.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Eternal Fire | 8c | 281.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed fnatic | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Eternal Fire | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 239.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic | 68c | 223.11$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked fnatic | 76c | 215.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed fnatic | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire | 30c | 167$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked fnatic | 74c | 134$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 127.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…d689backed Eternal Fire | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Eternal Fire | 12c | 121.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed fnatic | 69c | 100.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 98.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 91.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed fnatic | 55c | 88.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 86.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Eternal Fire | 14c | 79.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked fnatic | 48c | 64.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 62.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Eternal Fire | 25c | 50.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Eternal Fire | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Eternal Fire | 28c | 42.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eternal Fire | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Eternal Fire | 25c | 40.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Eternal Fire | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic | 51c | 32.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed fnatic | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked fnatic | 67c | 18.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.