Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Daniel Dutra da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f03653611cd976487850b2673c22804f74fd7513bbf3c2b3366c5c0c6f852b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cadenassoof Cadenasso, Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Silva | 27c | 6,812$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.04 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cadenasso | 64c | 3,837$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.86 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Silva | 25c | 3,277$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Cadenasso | 62c | 2,097$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.12 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Silva | 68c | 2,031$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.3 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cadenasso | 65c | 1,919$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.13 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Silva | 38c | 1,576$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.95 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Silva | 27c | 1,146$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.51 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Cadenasso | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Silva | 61c | 816.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Silva | 27c | 806.63$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Silva | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cadenasso | 58c | 595.26$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Cadenasso | 38c | 541.52$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.17 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Silva | 41c | 500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Silva | 25c | 425.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Silva | 64c | 405$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.29 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Silva | 49c | 362.74$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Silva | 44c | 349.16$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.52 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Silva | 49c | 312.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Cadenasso | 79c | 272$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Cadenasso | 76c | 271$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Silva | 42c | 266$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed Silva | 9c | 237.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Cadenasso | 57c | 223.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Cadenasso | 39c | 218.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Silva | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Cadenasso | 38c | 199.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Silva | 28c | 187.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cadenasso | 66c | 181$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Silva | 43c | 178.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Cadenasso | 68c | 177$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Cadenasso | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cadenasso | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Silva | 63c | 157.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Silva | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Silva | 44c | 145.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Silva | 43c | 140.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Silva | 37c | 137.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Silva | 43c | 133.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Silva | 42c | 133.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Silva | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Silva | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Silva | 45c | 119.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Silva | 61c | 115.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cadenasso | 58c | 113.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Silva | 41c | 108.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Cadenasso | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Silva | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Cadenasso | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cadenasso | 79c | 91.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Silva | 66c | 86.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Silva | 60c | 82.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Silva | 42c | 81.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Cadenasso | 49c | 77.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Cadenasso | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cadenasso | 48c | 72.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Silva | 78c | 64.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Silva | 51c | 59.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Silva | 19c | 58.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Cadenasso | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Silva | 44c | 50.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Silva | 75c | 50.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cadenasso | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Cadenasso | 63c | 43.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…014bbacked Silva | 39c | 35.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Cadenasso | 39c | 32.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Silva | 42c | 31.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cadenasso | 56c | 31.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Silva | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Cadenasso | 72c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cadenasso | 56c | 25.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Cadenasso | 42c | 25.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Silva | 65c | 23.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Cadenasso | 62c | 22.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Cadenasso | 64c | 22.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Silva | 73c | 21.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Cadenasso | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Silva | 65c | 19.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Silva | 65c | 17.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Cadenasso | 61c | 17.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.