Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Andrea Pellegrino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1d60a8e058a1e77e73302f6b2e9bb305ca913c2e196745483263d14a78396a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zizou Bergsof Zizou Bergs, Andrea Pellegrino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 6,940$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Andrea Pellegrino | 8c | 3,354$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Pellegrino | 5c | 2,594$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 21c | 2,387$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.59 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Zizou Bergs | 80c | 1,248$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Andrea Pellegrino | 11c | 1,050$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 20c | 894.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 21c | 848$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Zizou Bergs | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 8c | 625$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Andrea Pellegrino | 20c | 493.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Andrea Pellegrino | 9c | 448.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Zizou Bergs | 78c | 337.02$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Zizou Bergs | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Andrea Pellegrino | 19c | 268.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 307 | 39.1%120 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Zizou Bergs | 79c | 241.12$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Andrea Pellegrino | 21c | 236.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Zizou Bergs | 80c | 202.02$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Zizou Bergs | 80c | 202.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Zizou Bergs | 79c | 176.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Andrea Pellegrino | 7c | 170.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Zizou Bergs | 80c | 149.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Zizou Bergs | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 283 | 72.1%204 W · 79 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Andrea Pellegrino | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 64.6%93 W · 51 L | +14.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Zizou Bergs | 78c | 119.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 156 | 69.9%109 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Zizou Bergs | 77c | 102.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Andrea Pellegrino | 16c | 102.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…196bbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 19c | 95.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Andrea Pellegrino | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Andrea Pellegrino | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,084 | 52.6%570 W · 514 L | +31.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Zizou Bergs | 79c | 41.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Zizou Bergs | 79c | 27.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f0…810bbacked Zizou Bergs | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Zizou Bergs | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Zizou Bergs | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927e…cd69backed Zizou Bergs | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Andrea Pellegrinothis page
- Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Pellegrino (+1.5)Bergs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.