Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. LIU Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f405cad43886e049c222f513e032e3565d1831c10696def19e4f22c99aacea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof Central Connecticut State Blue Devils, LIU Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 14c | 1,093$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 33c | 1,092$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.19 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LIU Sharks | 66c | 885.35$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LIU Sharks | 57c | 554.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LIU Sharks | 71c | 451.16$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed LIU Sharks | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked LIU Sharks | 67c | 169.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed LIU Sharks | 69c | 99.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 31c | 93.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 31c | 89.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 22c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked LIU Sharks | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 18c | 60.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked LIU Sharks | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LIU Sharks | 74c | 38.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LIU Sharks | 68c | 33.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 34c | 32.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed LIU Sharks | 70c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked LIU Sharks | 58c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed LIU Sharks | 66c | 18.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.