Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Thiago Monteiro vs Franco Agamenone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f61ecc52f173b2b47311fe1c6de4d7f210f82bc9c5b3e93f3ca5c5faf699eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franco Agamenoneof Thiago Monteiro, Franco Agamenone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thiago Monteiro | 8c | 9,256$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…d7debacked Thiago Monteiro | 14c | 607.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Franco Agamenone | 77c | 604.87$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Franco Agamenone | 27c | 431$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.83 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Thiago Monteiro | 3c | 362.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Thiago Monteiro | 6c | 357.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Franco Agamenone | 71c | 310.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Thiago Monteiro | 25c | 300.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Franco Agamenone | 72c | 257.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 33c | 234.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Thiago Monteiro | 9c | 182.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Franco Agamenone | 74c | 178.51$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Franco Agamenone | 59c | 118.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Franco Agamenone | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Thiago Monteiro | 13c | 99.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Thiago Monteiro | 11c | 93.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Franco Agamenone | 74c | 87.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Franco Agamenone | 69c | 72.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 143 | 69.9%100 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…e606backed Thiago Monteiro | 49c | 51.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Thiago Monteiro | 38c | 43.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Franco Agamenone | 75c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Thiago Monteiro | 31c | 37.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1613backed Thiago Monteiro | 38c | 35.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Franco Agamenone | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Franco Agamenone | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Thiago Monteiro | 41c | 24.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Thiago Monteiro | 63c | 23.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…9548backed Franco Agamenone | 63c | 22.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Franco Agamenone | 61c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.