Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7bc3f26f90743841f72014c6bf01a2017e1d7275db625258ceefd95e2175a1

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lincoln Red Imps FCof AS Omónoia Leukosías, Lincoln Red Imps FC
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,745 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	42c	5,666$2,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,403.94	973	46%448 W · 525 L	-4.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	57c	2,032$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.94	2,333	41.7%972 W · 1,361 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.99	159	47.8%76 W · 83 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	58c	1,886$1,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$793.77	2,473	33.9%839 W · 1,634 L	-95.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	74c	691.2$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.43	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e7…ceedbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC	59c	677.97$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.97	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC	58c	512$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.04	275	45.8%126 W · 149 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC	57c	438$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.34	880	48.2%424 W · 456 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	57c	323.29$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.41	1,022	47.5%485 W · 537 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	46c	300$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	778	55%428 W · 350 L	+23.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	57c	284.23$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.66	381	44.1%168 W · 213 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	58c	281.01$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.02	655	49.8%326 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC	58c	244.33$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.57	153	52.9%81 W · 72 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	76c	235$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	58c	215$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.3	1,316	50.8%668 W · 648 L	+33.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	123	58.5%72 W · 51 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	42c	149.38$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.74	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Lincoln Red Imps FC	54c	142$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.32	218	40.4%88 W · 130 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	71c	138.36$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.3	1,604	38.9%624 W · 980 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	59c	102.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.86	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	239	51.5%123 W · 116 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	43c	96.65$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.25	476	49.4%235 W · 241 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	41c	95.23$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.04	655	35.6%233 W · 422 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	62c	90$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	53	71.7%38 W · 15 L	+6.0wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC	59c	77.23$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.66	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC	55c	69.7$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.37	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	55c	69.7$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.37	111	41.4%46 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817f…4a58backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	43c	48.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.84	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	44c	44.23$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC	59c	42.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Lincoln Red Imps FC	63c	42.36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.8	389	52.7%205 W · 184 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC	58c	41.3$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.35	384	53.1%204 W · 180 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	57c	35.1$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	58c	28.07$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	236	53%125 W · 111 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	54c	27.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.91	1,039	50%520 W · 519 L	+26.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	45c	26.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	46c	23.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	254	40.6%103 W · 151 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	568	49.6%282 W · 286 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Lincoln Red Imps FC	80c	18.77$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-2.5)this page
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Lincoln Red Imps FC O/U 0.5Under won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Lincoln Red Imps FC O/U 2.5Under won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 0.5Over won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 1.5Under won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 5.5Under won
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Team to AdvanceAS Omónoia Leukosías won
Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event